Whatever may be the final outcome of the impeachment saga – Is there a way that it may be benefitting President Donald Trump?
The US Presidential contest has reached a critical juncture especially for the candidates vying for the post of POTUS. The constitutional war triggered in the US over complaints by a whistleblower has reached its peak. The whistleblower alleged that POTUS Donald Trump abused his power and position by pressuring the Ukrainian President to initiate inquiries against the Democratic rival Joe Bidden.
Democrats hope that maligning Trump’s image could build ground for a win over Republicans in 2020 US Presidential Elections.
Donald Trump had already been impeached in December 2019. But the process to remove him from the office is still in progress. Democrats who have been trying hard to use the current political scenario against Trump hope that maligning his image could build ground for a Democrat win over Republicans in 2020 US Presidential Elections.
Impeachment Done? Not Quite
Currently, Democrats are trying to present new impeachment evidence against Donald Trump. Evidence which cannot be ignored. But Trump is backed by Republicans opposing it. They argue that the evidence presented in the House of Representatives during the impeachment process were enough.
The new evidence could perhaps remove Trump from the office or to an extent, even intensively dilapidate his future re-election fate.
Consequently, the new evidence could perhaps damage Trump and remove him from the office or to an extent, even intensively dilapidate his future re-election fate. However, the Republicans don’t want to extend the proceedings further and want to end the trial today on Friday (31st January), preferably by acquitting Donald Trump.
Moreover, Republican caucus has also warned Democrats. If Democrats tried to subpoena former National Security Adviser John Bolton or Mick Mulvaney (White House Chief of Staff), then the Republicans can also insist for testimony from Hunter Biden for his work at Burisma (Ukrainian Energy Company and how he became a board of member).
Will Republicans vote to hear the new witness?
There are 53 Republicans in the US Senate where the party is in majority. But there are few members in their party willing to listen to the new evidence. Among them is Susan Collins who said that she would vote favour the new evidence to hear it. The other member is Mitt Romney, also willing to support the Democrats’ move.
However, the Democrats will still find it difficult to present the new evidence as they need at least 4 Republicans favouring the move. Republican Lisa Murkowski, till now, has not decided whether to back the move or not. And even if Murkowski backs the move, the vote will be a tie i.e. 50-50. Only the Chief Justice of the American Supreme Court John Roberts could break this tie.
However, John Roberts has an option to refrain himself from voting. The tie will move the ball into the court of the Republicans. They could vote to acquit Donald Trump. That will subsequently end the trial. As the presiding officer, Roberts is authorized to give a ruling on pieces of evidence present, although, his verdict is subject to reversal by Senate’s majority vote.
But the real question here is how this impeachment trial will affect Donald Trump?
Democrats want to include the report of the New York Times about Bolton’s unpublished book. It mentions an event where Trump directed Bolton to stop military aid to Ukraine until the Ukrainian Government agreed to investigate Joe Bidden and his son Hunter Biden in the Ukrainian Gas Company Scandal.
If two-thirds of the Senate members vote against Trump, he will be removed from the office. It means the people of America will lose their faith in Trump as well as in Republicans. Even worse, a separate vote could be held to disqualify Trump from all future re-elections. It will be a manoeuvred political intrigue against the candidate.
If two-thirds of the Senate votes against Trump and removes his from office, people of America will lose their faith in Trump as well as in the Republicans.
However, even if Republicans succeed in refraining the new witness and save Trump from removal, it will just heighten the impeachment saga and instead of benefitting, will again raise questions on the White House’s integrity as the new witness could be a potential ground for Trump’s removal from the office. So, in both cases, Trump’s image could be evanesced and ruined.