Human Extinction 2050! We may be reaching a ‘point of no return’ – where an uninhabitable ‘Earth’ leads to the breakdown of international order.
Human Extinction 2050 : The freshest study on the much trending but thoroughly underestimated topic of climate change effects suggests a plausible scenario where the human civilization could have triggered its demise and in 31 years, doomsday could arrive.
As per the report published by Melbourne think-tank, the Breakthrough National Centre for Climate Restoration, climate change is a “near- to mid-term existential threat to human civilization”.
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It is not something that will happen generations from now when the earth population breathing and polluting right now, we’ll already be dead.
The analysis which gives a horrific image of how human civilization will start environment powered depletion due to the pollution problem globally in the next three decades has been backed by a former Australian defense chief and senior royal navy commander.
The new analysis
The report by the independent Australian think-tank reasons that potentially “extremely serious outcomes” of climate change effects related security threats are more probable than they are conventionally valued.
Quantifying the impact is almost impossible as the current trajectory falls “outside the human experience of the last thousand years.”
The Breakthrough report warns, “planetary and human systems are reaching a ‘point of no return’ by mid-century, in which the prospect of a largely uninhabitable Earth leads to the breakdown of nations and the international order.”
The point of no return
While it is nowhere near an exact study, the report by Breakthrough sets out a ‘high end’ risk scenario; in contrast to the extremely conservation report from the UN in 2018 which failed to create an alarm and urge in the political leaders to act globally.
The authors of the report have asserted that conventional approach to the estimated risk from the climate change tends to ‘downplay worst-case scenarios despite their plausibility’. But there’s a chance that Human Extinction begins 2050.
The study emphasizes on how easy it could be to end up in an accelerating runaway climate scenario which would lead to a largely uninhabitable planet by 2050.
The climate change effects would accelerate the collapse of larger natural ecosystems. Habitats like the coral reef systems, the Amazon rainforest and other big oxygen replenishing zones. Also the ice cap of the Arctic region.
If such a scenario unfolds, the impact could destroy the habitat of over a billion people, who then will be force to relocate due to extremely unlivable conditions.
There could also be a major water shortage, the report opines, could impact another two billion people.
The study further suggests that agricultural crisis resulting in collapse in the sub-tropic countries.
This could lead to severe impact on the global food supply chain with significantly lesser food production that may cause wide-spread hunger. This could spell doomsday in 2050.
Countries, UN, and similar institutions will find it tough to hold up international order.
Human Extinction 2050! Such a catastrophe would lead to the downfall of several major global powers. Which might find it tough to sustain the economy and take care of citizens.
The unvarnished truth about human destiny
The report opines too conservative 2°C of warming, may force over a billion people to relocate. In an extremely grave ‘high-risk’ scenario, it is virtually incomprehensible to evaluate and forecast the scale of destruction. Human civilization has no recorded or analyzed example in its history.
The report suggests the deterioration might be” beyond our capacity to model with a high likelihood of human civilization coming to an end,”
The study’s foreword has been written by Australia’s retired Chief of Defence Force Admiral Chris Barrie, who praised the authors for “laying bare the unvarnished truth about the desperate situation humans, and our planet, are in, painting a disturbing picture of the real possibility that human life on Earth may be on the way to extinction, in the most horrible way.”
As per the report’s projected scenario, humans will likely get a hold of the current trajectory. They will climate change effects at around 3 degrees Celsius of global heating. But this could further amplify the warming process.
Can we avoid this?
Speaking to Motherboard, one of the authors of the report asserted. There’s a reason why we haven’t been able to make a proper collective push towards curbing the impact of climate change. Human Extinction begins 2050.
Information and research for politicians to ponder project the impact is way too conservative in its impact assessment. “Because the risks are now existential, a new approach is required using scenario analysis,” author said.
The only way of tackling the grave situation is a global movement similar to scale of mobilization during the WW2.
This suggests that last year’s UN report for global legislators was in fact far too optimistic – even when the assessment gave a dramatically devastating view of the civilization.
As per the study, only way to limiting risks and somehow ensuring that such a situation does not occur. It needs a mass mobilization towards the cause. This would be something close to the scale of World War 2 action. But which concentrates on rapidly moving towards a zero-emission environment. And active restoration of the damage to forests and other natural ecosystems.
“A high-end 2050 scenario finds a world in social breakdown and outright chaos,” said one of the creators of the study, “But a short window of opportunity exists for an emergency, global mobilization of resources, in which the logistical and planning experiences of the national security sector could play a valuable role.”