With people locked inside their homes due to COVID-19, a Harvard research has now revealed that social-distancing may be needed until 2022 to fight coronavirus.
Even after months since the spread of coronavirus started in China, the number of cases and deaths has just kept increasing. As a step to contain the spread of coronavirus, people have been advised to stay at home and avoid any social gatherings while following social-distancing. And if the words of a group of Harvard researchers are to believed, this social-distancing to combat COVID-19 may be needed right through 2022.
Adopting social-distancing till 2022
According to a group of Harvard disease researchers, people around the world might have to practice some level of social-distancing intermittently through 2022. As per the researchers, this is necessary to stop COVID-19 from spreading further and reduce the stress on hospital systems.
The scientists have warned that lifting social-distancing measures all at once could simply risk delaying the epidemic’s peak and thereby potentially making it more severe.
Computer models to simulate COVID-19
The Harvard researchers are using computer models to simulate how the pandemic may unfold further. According to researchers, strict social-distancing followed by intensive public health detective work could aid in faster removal of the virus.
A similar thing happened with SARS-CoV-1, which caused an outbreak in 2003. But with the number of confirmed cases of the COVID-19 approaching 2 million globally, that outcome is now looking highly unlikely. The virus is expected to stay here like the seasonal flu, travelling the globe seasonally.
Social-distancing is the need of the hour
According to the researchers, if the virus is more transmissible in colder months, delaying the peak in into the autumn could worsen the strain on healthcare systems.
To avoid such problems, on and off social distancing measures may be needed until 2022, unless the hospital capacity is increased or effective vaccines are developed – that looks difficult as of now.
A communal effort is required in combating the current COVID-19 crisis. With the virus spreading at an alarming rate, may be social-distancing is the only way forward.